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Banking
system reform
Syria
has a high population growth rate. This aggravates the unemployment rate (every
year, 200-300 thousand people increase labor supply) in addition to the disguised
unemployment.
Syria
needs to invest 24-36% of GDP to realize a growth rate of 4-8%. Currently,
Investment rate approximates 18% of GDP. SHALLAH treated banking reforms beginning
with a general diagnosis on current banks role and performance. He forwarded
some comparative statistics between some Arabian countries (including Syria).
These statistics concern assets, deposits, credits and currency in circulation
ratios. He demonstrated through statistics that Syria has the last grade,
emphasizing the deficiency of Syrian banks.
Banking
system in Syria did not update basic banking procedures to satisfy the requirements
of the economic development. The lecturer thinks that most reasons of Syrian
banking regression are external to the banking system itself.
Syrian
banks could not attract national savings because of bad services and high
costs. These banks contributed to the high liquidity outside banks. They encouraged
Hoarding of money (leading to the phenomenon of money collectors).
Banks neglected attracting deposits in
foreign currencies. Despite last encouraging decisions to increase these deposits,
results remain limited and insufficient. Potential depositors still hesitate
when dealing with syrian banks. They need a vehement awareness campaign to
restore confidence.
In Syria,
financing import is related to the foreign currencies incoming from export.
This practice created some problems. Export financing policy remains conservator
and restricted. Exporter must have the adequate solvency. Commercial bank
credits remain mediocre. Indeed, current credits reflect the upper limit of
what can be exported in counterpart of a commitment to get back the related
foreign currencies. The bank does not offer sufficient credits to finance
import operations. SHALLAH mentioned also the complexity and the slowness
of syrian banking procedures.
Internal
credits to the private sector are very limited, and can not be compared to
credits accorded to the public sector who enjoys 98% of the commercial bank
credits.
Credits
interest rates remain unchanged since 1981. The lecturer mentioned that certain
specialized banks (agricultural bank and industrial bank) are suffering from
bad debts and have difficulties in debt recovery. These banks need governmental
subsidies to make new credits.
During
more than 35 years of total monopoly, syrian public banking system has not
developed sufficient experience. Currently, Syria seeks best strategies to
reform its banking system.
Some specialists
confirm that governmental banks are more secure than private banks. They pretend
that public banks can overcome current difficulties (by reactivating the Counsel
of Money and Credit and implementing radical changes in wages policy…).
Another
group of specialists pretends that current banking system has failed and can
not achieve the urgent global reform.
Last group
supposes that a mixed banking system is the best way to sustain the economic
development. Existence of private banks creates the competitiveness (indispensable
to perceive a new economic dynamism). Private banks contribute to improve
syrian banking system through increasing resources, introducing new services
and technologies… On the other hand, public banks are expected to remain more
powerful, more secure (because of the government guarantee).
The last
opinion seems to be largely adopted. Furthermore, the mixed and private banks
law project is now under discussion in the Parliament.
The lecturer
emphasized the importance of restructuring public banks and improving their
efficiency. The mission of the Counsel of Money and Credit must be clarified.
Banking
system must not be restrained to the classic missions. It must take in consideration
new missions in many areas like pension funds, leasing, electronic transfer
system, private banking, hedging, and networking...
Finally,
lecturer thinks that the law N24 must be abolished because the circumstances
are changed, the new decisions (as the decree N6) make no sense to apply
it, the syrian pound power depends on syrian economic power and not on severe
punishment laws….